Like many other places around the world, China is struggling to balance public concern about the safety of genetically modified crops with a growing demand for affordable food. And there’s a disconnect: In China’s case, shrinking fields of domestic soybean—by law non-GM—and massive imports of cheaper soybeans that are the very GM crop consumers profess to shun.

Researchers have taken a first look at how China’s soybean farmers are reacting when their crop struggles in the global market.

The study, published in Scientific Reports, reports what Chinese farmers are growing on lands once dominated by non-GM soy, and documents farmers bucking that trend and planting more. Researchers say these farming choices may offer solutions to a national dilemma.

“Many studies have focused on the global expansion of GM crops. However, the spatial and temporal changes of non-GM crops are not clear, although they have significant socioeconomic and environmental impacts as well as policy implications in the telecoupled world,” says Jianguo “Jack” Liu, chair in sustainability at Michigan State University’s Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability.

“Understanding the finer points of growing soybeans will be a crucial step to managing a global enterprise.”

soybeans in field

Demand for soybean as food, feed, and oil has soared as China’s economy booms and eating habits change. China is now the world’s largest soybean importer—bringing in more than 80 percent of the soybeans consumed, mostly from Brazil and the United States. Those imported crops are GM crops.

Research associate Jing Sun and his colleagues found that soybean farming in China is generally struggling as farmers switch to more profitable crops, with soybean fields shrinking and becoming more fragmented. But Sun also discovered surprising pockets of resilience and identified strengths in soybean cultivation that may point a way to give Chinese soybean consumers what they say they want.

“Cost versus food safety concerns is a dilemma in China, and consumers are pretending not to notice the soybeans they are getting are genetically modified,” Sun says. “Our work will help inform the Chinese government on the status of local soybean crops, which is an issue that transcends the GM controversy, and includes environmental concerns.”

Sun and colleagues scrutinized satellite data of the nation’s leading soybean-growing region, Heilongjiang Province in northeastern China. There they found farmers converting fields from soybean to corn but not without environmental consequence. Unlike soybeans, corn cannot use nitrogen in the soil, so it requires more fertilizers that can cause pollution.

Yet even as daunting market pressures reduce soy plantings, Sun’s analysis finds surprising hotspots of soybeans. As it turns out, soybean farming has advantages that may point the way to a resurgence. Farmers in the north found soybeans more forgiving of cold springs and short growing seasons that can cause corn to fail. And for some, soybean farming is a powerful tradition.

The researchers say China’s current dependence on foreign imports to fill its burgeoning soybean demand—and its decrease in domestic production—comes with potential costs around the globe, including the possibility of Amazon rainforest deforestation as Brazil ramps up soybean production to meet demand.

This text is published here under a Creative Commons License.
Author: Sue Nichols-Michigan State University
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