Leading experts and advisors to governments around the world have been warning for weeks that the coronavirus pandemic is not over. There is still a long way to go, despite vaccination, and the risk of a fourth wave is already looming on the horizon.

One of those already daring to give dates for a worsening of the situation is Germany’s leading virologist, Christian Drosten, who has pointed out that the pandemic may become “drastically more difficult” in the coming weeks, specifically a few days after Easter.

Drosten, director of virology at La Charité in Berlin and one of the most renowned European experts, has assured in the podcast in which he regularly participates, that shortly after Easter we will have a situation like the one experienced after Christmas.

“This view is not the fantasy of individual experts, but is the official view of what awaits us in the coming weeks,” he said, adding that the situation could become “drastically more difficult” in a matter of days in the first half of April.

In particular, Drosten points to the population aged 50 and over who have not yet been vaccinated as that part of the population that may suffer the worst effects of this fourth wave if it finally occurs as he fears. In this new wave, it will be especially the English variant that will cause the vast majority of infections and hospitalizations this spring.

Michael T. Osterholm, Biden’s epidemiological advisor, has expressed himself in the same terms as Drosten and is already venturing a fourth wave of coronavirus of great dimensions.

It would arrive in the days after Easter and would be led by the British variant, which is known to be more contagious and has already become dominant in many European and American countries.

In an interview with MPR News, Osterholm explained that this variant “is causing more serious diseases, including an increase in deaths and hospitalizations”.

The U.S. expert clarified that this fourth wave will be felt with greater or lesser force depending on the rate of vaccination in each country, but added that the percentages, even in the most advanced nations in the rate of inoculated doses, are still far from optimal to begin to curb these new waves.


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