Taiwanese Defence Minister Chiu Kuo Cheng said on Wednesday that China will have “the capacity to invade Taiwan in earnest in 2025”, and pointed out that the current tense situation is “the most difficult” in 40 years. The minister said that the Chinese army would already be able to invade the island now, but that it would have “a high cost” that would be lower in 2025, making a “large-scale aggression” possible, reports the Taiwanese news agency CNA.

This is why the Defence Ministry has earmarked 64 percent of its budget this year for defence systems, as well as for developing supersonic missiles in order to be “prepared” to counter Chinese threats. These statements from Taiwan come after the Taiwanese government has denounced the presence of 56 Chinese military aircraft over its airspace in recent days, a daily record after almost 100 incursions were counted on Monday.

In response, Taiwanese forces issued a series of radio warnings and activated the anti-aircraft system to monitor these incursions, according to the Ministry of Defence. Taiwan’s president, Tsai Ing Wen, has warned of the “catastrophic consequences” that could result if the island were to fall completely into China’s hands, and has assured that she will defend the territory and its democracy in the face of the Asian giant’s growing aggressiveness.

Similarly, the Taiwanese premier, Su Tseng Chang, has warned of a serious violation of “regional peace” and has pointed out that Taiwan must remain vigilant at all times in the face of this type of activity. This same Tuesday, US President Joe Biden confirmed that he will continue with his Taiwan Relations Act, which allows commercial exchanges with the island.

For its part, the Chinese government has recalled that the United States “should strictly abide by the one-China principle, abide by three Sino-US joint communiqués and treat Taiwan-related issues with caution”. “It is necessary for the United States to stop supporting separatist forces demonstrating for Taiwan independence and to take concrete steps to safeguard peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait,” said Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying.

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